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Geplaatst: 03-04-2019 07:48:58 Onderwerp: po China 2017 held in Beijing |
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Introduction
When using sample data to estimate a population characteristic Cory Spangenberg Padres Jersey , either a single number estimate or a confidence interval estimate might be used. Confidence intervals are generally preferred because a single number estimate, by itself, does not convey any information about its accuracy. For this reason, whenever you report the value of a single number estimate, it is a good idea to also include a margin of error.
What is a confidence interval?
A confidence interval (CI) for a population characteristic is an interval of plausible values for the characteristic. It is constructed so that, with a chosen degree of confidence, the actual value of the population characteristic will be between the lower and upper endpoints of the interval. Associated with each confidence interval is a confidence level. The confidence level provides information on how much “confidence” we can have in the method used to construct the interval estimate. Usual choices for confidence levels are 90%, 95% and 99% although other confidence levels are also possible.
List 4 mistakes
When dealing with confidence intervals we can find different mistakes. Some people think that there is a 95% chance that the true population mean is contained within the confidence intervals. This is wrong. The correct interpretation is that in 95% of studies, the true population means will be contained within the confidence limits. These seem like very similar statements – and they are. The problems is rather subtle – if we say that the confidence intervals have a 95% chance of containing the true population mean, then we are implying that the population mean is variable – sometimes it’s not. But the population mean cannot change – it is fixed. It is either within the confidence intervals, or it isn’t. The mistakes are listed below:
• First mistake is about 95% level of confidence, which there is a 95% chance contains true means of population. This is a mistake with quite subtle. The idea to a confidence interval is the probability enters the picture used with the method to determine confidence interval.
• Second mistake is 95% confidence level with all 95% data values fall within the interval in population.
• Third mistake is that 95% confidence interval that implies 95% of all possible sample means which fall within the interval range.
• Fourth mistake is to think that they are sole source of error in dealing with confidence interval.
Conclusion
In statistics, a confidence interval is a kind of interval estimate of a population parameter and is used to indicate the reliability of an estimate. It is an observed interval, in principle different from sample to sample, that frequently includes the parameter of interest, if the experiment is repeated. How frequently the observed interval contains the parameter is determined by the confidence level or confidence coefficient. Confidence intervals which are calculated by approximating the distribution of an estimator with the normal distribution are called approximate confidence intervals as opposed to exact confidence intervals.
BEIJING, Sept. 21 (Xinhua) -- China's State Council has released a plan for the country's second national census on pollution sources, with the results to be published in 2019.
Seven years after the results of the first national pollution census, the government launched a second survey to investigate the scale, structure and distribution of pollution sources.
The survey will cover industrial, agricultural and residential pollution.
China aims to finish the survey in 2018, releasing the results in 2019.
China published the results of the first national pollution census in 2010, which targeted nearly 6 million objects of industrial sources, agricultural sources, residential sources and centralized pollution control facilities, collecting 1.1 billion items of basic data on pollution sources.
The survey found agricultural pollution was having a major effect on China's water supplies, prompting government efforts to clean up rural areas.
After decades of rapid expansion brought smog, contaminated soil and water, China is steadily shifting from GDP obsession to a balanced growth philosophy that puts more emphasis on the environment.
Measures have been taken to control pollution, such as a revised environmental protection law and the introduction of a "river chief" system. The government has drawn red lines in certain regions to strengthen protection.
China is to cut its carbon emissions per unit of GDP by 60-65 percent from 2005 levels by 2030 and raise the share of non-fossil energy in total consumption to about 20 percent.
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